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VIEW ALL →Fed Holds at 3.5%: Inflation Fears Clash With a Softening Labor Market
The Federal Reserve held rates at 3.5%-3.75% for the second consecutive meeting in March 2026, raising its PCE inflation forecast to 2.7%. With Jerome Powell's term expiring May 15, monetary policy faces an inflection point.
S&P 500 at 6,782: Technical Roadmap After the Iran Ceasefire Rally
The S&P 500 surged to 6,782 on the U.S.-Iran ceasefire, approaching its all-time high. We break down key resistance levels, breadth indicators, and the probability of a breakout to new highs.
Factor Investing in a Geopolitical Volatility Regime: What the Data Shows
The Iran crisis and tariff uncertainty have created a volatile backdrop for factor strategies. We analyze how momentum, value, quality, and low-volatility factors have performed through the April 2026 shock.
LATEST ARTICLES
Anthropic's $800B Valuation and the AI Investment Paradox of 2026
Anthropic is attracting offers at an $800 billion valuation while Molotov cocktails fly at data centers. The AI investment thesis has never been more polarized -- or more lucrative for those who get it right.
ETF Strategies for Fed Rate Uncertainty: Positioning for One Cut or None
With the Fed signaling just one rate cut in 2026 and Chair Powell's term ending in May, ETF investors need to prepare for multiple scenarios. Here are data-driven allocation strategies.
PCE at 2.7%: Dissecting the Fed's Inflation Forecast and What Markets Miss
The Fed raised its PCE inflation forecast from 2.4% to 2.7% in March 2026, driven by energy costs from the Iran crisis. We break down the components, the base effects, and what the data means for portfolios.
Options Strategies for Q1 2026 Earnings Season: Volatility Is Mispriced
With earnings season underway and post-ceasefire VIX crushed to 16, options markets are underpricing the risk of earnings surprises. Here are three strategies to exploit the mispricing.
Bitcoin at $74,315: Analyzing the Recovery From the February Crash to $60K
BTC has rallied to $74,315 as of April 14, up 8.1% weekly and its highest level since the February 5 crash. We analyze the cycle, on-chain data, and the path to $78K.
Q1 2026 Earnings Season: Five Themes That Will Drive the Market
Earnings season is underway with bank reports leading off. We identify the five key themes -- from Iran disruption to AI capex -- that will define Q1 results and shape market direction.
Volatility as an Asset Class: Lessons From the Iran Crisis VIX Spike
The VIX surged from 14 to 28 during the Iran conflict and collapsed to 16 after the ceasefire. We analyze volatility as a tradeable asset class and the strategies that profited from the April whipsaw.
Dividend Growth Investing With Rates at 3.5%: Still Worth It?
With the fed funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% and Treasuries yielding over 4%, the case for dividend stocks requires re-examination. We run the numbers on total return, yield competition, and valuation.
Emerging Markets and Dollar Weakness: The Post-Ceasefire Opportunity
The dollar has weakened 3% in 2026 and the Iran ceasefire is boosting risk appetite. Emerging market equities and bonds may be the biggest beneficiaries. We analyze the data.
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